This is an update as of April 13th, 2020.
We are analyzing the existing available data on daily deaths caused by the SARS-CoV2 virus and use that in conjunction with certain simple models to predict the evolution of the disease in certain geographical areas. You can read the full introduction here.
Today was a global drop in the number of deaths which is consistent with what happened on Monday’s in the past 3 weeks. This time though the drop comes amid a background of decreasing number of deaths in the selected regions.
France, Spain and Italy all converge towards a similar percentage of the total population of the respective regions, of about 0.05%.
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