This is an update as of March 28th, 2020.
We are analyzing the existing available data on daily deaths caused by the SARS-CoV2 virus and use that in conjunction with certain simple models to predict the evolution of the disease in certain geographical areas. You can read the full introduction here.
DE stands for Germany, not Delaware.
Yesterday marked quite a big jump in the total number of fatalities for the analyzed regions. We had 2106 fatalities which marks a 22% increase from the previous day.
As a percentage, the increase was more pronounced in the US than in Europe.
Despite having the largest number of casualties, places like Italy, Spain and New York are moving away the fastest away from the exponential, showing that they are closest to the peak.
According to the Erf fit, yesterday should have market the peak in number of casualties in Italy, we should expect a downward trend in the daily number of deaths there.