This is an update as of March 29th, 2020.
We are analyzing the existing available data on daily deaths caused by the SARS-CoV2 virus and use that in conjunction with certain simple models to predict the evolution of the disease in certain geographical areas. You can read the full introduction here.
DE stands for Germany, not Delaware.
- For Italy we seem to be passed the peak.
- New York and New Jersey have extremely similar parameters to the fit. This signals that they are really tracking the same outbreak.